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Naira holds steady as oil output hits a four-year high and reserves reach $55bn

Higher crude prices, more production and local refining are easing pressure on Nigeria's currency.

Olanrewaju Adewole
Lagos1 min read
Equipment arriving at the Dangote refinery site in Lekki, Lagos, in 2020.
Equipment arriving at the Dangote refinery site in Lekki, Lagos, in 2020. File photo: GodwinPaya / Wikimedia Commons (CC BY-SA 4.0)

The naira enters November on firm ground, supported by higher oil prices, the country's highest crude output in four years and a sharp rise in foreign reserves.

The numbers

  • Bonny Light, Nigeria's benchmark crude: about $115 a barrel.
  • Crude production: above 1.53 million barrels a day, about 1.7 million with condensates, the highest in four years and above Nigeria's OPEC quota.
  • Reserves: about $55 billion gross; net reserves at a record $46 billion.
  • Exchange rate: recently N1,330–N1,370 to the dollar; official interbank about N1,346; parallel market N1,380–N1,390.
  • Policy rate: 23%.

The production gain follows better security in the Niger Delta and less pipeline vandalism. Local refining, led by the Dangote refinery, is cutting the dollars needed to import petrol, a drain on foreign exchange that was heavier in past years.

What could change it

The outlook depends on oil prices and output staying high. A fall in global demand or new disruption in the Niger Delta could reduce dollar inflows. Production is still below the 2 million barrels a day assumed in the budget, which makes non-oil exports more important over the long term.

Source: Leadership via AllAfrica, 2 November 2026.

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